10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 114.71 · S2 113.56 · S3 112.21 · S4 85.57
④ Position
81% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (115-136), entry at R1 136, target mid 125, stop 141
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 135.88 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 114.71, stop 138.60
- IF 失守 114.71 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 113.56 → 112.99
- IF 突破 138.60 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 142.67 → 135.87
- IF 跌穿 85.57 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
135.88
Target
125.30
Stop
141.06
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.81%
Reward
+7.79%
R:R
2.04 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 135.87
- R1 (today high)
- 135.88
- Last
- 131.84
- S1 KEY
- 114.71
- S3
- 112.21
- S4 (crash)
- 85.57
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.