10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 2,903.57 · S2 2,874.53 · S3 2,931.65 · S4 3,210.72
④ Position
46% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (2904-3172), pos 46%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 3,172.07 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 2,903.57, stop 3,235.51
- IF 失守 2,903.57 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 2,874.53 → 2,860.02
- IF 突破 3,235.51 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 3,330.67 → 3,784.60
- IF 跌穿 3,210.72 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Backtest 90d
58% win (n=12) · +3.6%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 3,784.60
- R1 (today high)
- 3,172.07
- Last
- 3,027.34
- S1 KEY
- 2,903.57
- S3
- 2,931.65
- S4 (crash)
- 3,210.72
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.