10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 329.07 · S2 325.78 · S3 290.97 · S4 299.75
④ Position
29% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
BUY
⑥ Notes
BUY_S1: in box (329-352), entry at S1 329, target mid 341, stop 320
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 352.49 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 329.07, stop 359.54
- IF 失守 329.07 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 325.78 → 324.13
- IF 突破 359.54 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 370.11 → 339.98
- IF 跌穿 299.75 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan BUY
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
BUY_S1
Trigger
329.07
Target
340.78
Stop
319.96
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+2.77%
Reward
+3.56%
R:R
1.28 : 1
Backtest 60d
67% win (n=6) · +1.3%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 339.98
- R1 (today high)
- 352.49
- Last
- 335.95
- S1 KEY
- 329.07
- S3
- 290.97
- S4 (crash)
- 299.75
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.