10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 355.32 · S2 351.77 · S3 289.96 · S4 295.30
④ Position
2% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
BUY
⑥ Notes
BUY_S1: in box (355-433), entry at S1 355, target mid 394, stop 335
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 432.73 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 355.32, stop 441.38
- IF 失守 355.32 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 351.77 → 349.99
- IF 突破 441.38 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 454.37 → 448.90
- IF 跌穿 295.30 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan BUY
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
BUY_S1
Trigger
355.32
Target
394.03
Stop
335.30
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+5.63%
Reward
+10.89%
R:R
1.93 : 1
Backtest 60d
60% win (n=5) · +1.4%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 448.90
- R1 (today high)
- 432.73
- Last
- 356.74
- S1 KEY
- 355.32
- S3
- 289.96
- S4 (crash)
- 295.30
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.