10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 208.70 · S2 206.61 · S3 187.72 · S4 176.77
④ Position
7% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
BUY
⑥ Notes
BUY_S1: in box (209-241), entry at S1 209, target mid 225, stop 201
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 241.09 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 208.70, stop 245.91
- IF 失守 208.70 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 206.61 → 205.57
- IF 突破 245.91 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 253.14 → 244.07
- IF 跌穿 176.77 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan BUY
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
BUY_S1
Trigger
208.70
Target
224.89
Stop
201.22
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.58%
Reward
+7.76%
R:R
2.17 : 1
Backtest 197d
44% win (n=25) · +0.2%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 244.07
- R1 (today high)
- 241.09
- Last
- 211.08
- S1 KEY
- 208.70
- S3
- 187.72
- S4 (crash)
- 176.77
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.