10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 9.66 · S2 9.56 · S3 9.69 · S4 10.71
④ Position
4% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
BUY
⑥ Notes
BUY_S1: in box (10-10), entry at S1 10, target mid 10, stop 9
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 10.44 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 9.66, stop 10.65
- IF 失守 9.66 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 9.56 → 9.52
- IF 突破 10.65 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 10.96 → 11.05
- IF 跌穿 10.71 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan BUY
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
BUY_S1
Trigger
9.66
Target
10.05
Stop
9.47
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+2.00%
Reward
+4.04%
R:R
2.02 : 1
Backtest 60d
86% win (n=7) · +6.7%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 11.05
- R1 (today high)
- 10.44
- Last
- 9.70
- S1 KEY
- 9.66
- S3
- 9.69
- S4 (crash)
- 10.71
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.