10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 4.46 · S2 4.42 · S3 4.51 · S4 4.99
④ Position
10% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
BUY
⑥ Notes
BUY_S1: in box (4-5), entry at S1 4, target mid 5, stop 4
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 4.85 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 4.46, stop 4.95
- IF 失守 4.46 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 4.42 → 4.39
- IF 突破 4.95 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 5.09 → 5.14
- IF 跌穿 4.99 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan BUY
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
BUY_S1
Trigger
4.46
Target
4.66
Stop
4.32
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.15%
Reward
+4.42%
R:R
1.40 : 1
Backtest 60d
83% win (n=6) · +4.5%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 5.14
- R1 (today high)
- 4.85
- Last
- 4.50
- S1 KEY
- 4.46
- S3
- 4.51
- S4 (crash)
- 4.99
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.