10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 4.54 · S2 4.49 · S3 4.60 · S4 5.08
④ Position
10% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
BUY
⑥ Notes
BUY_S1: in box (5-5), entry at S1 5, target mid 5, stop 4
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 4.95 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 4.54, stop 5.05
- IF 失守 4.54 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 4.49 → 4.47
- IF 突破 5.05 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 5.20 → 5.24
- IF 跌穿 5.08 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan BUY
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
BUY_S1
Trigger
4.54
Target
4.74
Stop
4.40
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.20%
Reward
+4.42%
R:R
1.38 : 1
Backtest 60d
86% win (n=7) · +7.1%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 5.24
- R1 (today high)
- 4.95
- Last
- 4.59
- S1 KEY
- 4.54
- S3
- 4.60
- S4 (crash)
- 5.08
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.