10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 31.82 · S2 31.50 · S3 30.74 · S4 28.14
④ Position
65% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (32-40), entry at R1 40, target mid 36, stop 43
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 39.88 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 31.82, stop 40.68
- IF 失守 31.82 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 31.50 → 31.34
- IF 突破 40.68 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 41.87 → 45.58
- IF 跌穿 28.14 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
39.88
Target
35.85
Stop
42.68
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+7.02%
Reward
+10.11%
R:R
1.44 : 1
Backtest 197d
80% win (n=5) · +5.5%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 45.58
- R1 (today high)
- 39.88
- Last
- 37.04
- S1 KEY
- 31.82
- S3
- 30.74
- S4 (crash)
- 28.14
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.