10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 5.80 · S2 5.74 · S3 5.86 · S4 6.46
④ Position
8% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
BUY
⑥ Notes
BUY_S1: in box (6-6), entry at S1 6, target mid 6, stop 6
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 6.30 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 5.80, stop 6.43
- IF 失守 5.80 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 5.74 → 5.71
- IF 突破 6.43 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 6.62 → 6.67
- IF 跌穿 6.46 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan BUY
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
BUY_S1
Trigger
5.80
Target
6.05
Stop
5.63
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.02%
Reward
+4.31%
R:R
1.43 : 1
Backtest 60d
80% win (n=5) · +7.2%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 6.67
- R1 (today high)
- 6.30
- Last
- 5.84
- S1 KEY
- 5.80
- S3
- 5.86
- S4 (crash)
- 6.46
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.