10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend recovery
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 12.17 · S2 12.05 · S3 13.85 · S4 19.99
④ Position
2% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
BUY
⑥ Notes
BUY_S1: in box (12-15), entry at S1 12, target mid 13, stop 12
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 14.57 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 12.17, stop 14.86
- IF 失守 12.17 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 12.05 → 11.99
- IF 突破 14.86 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 15.30 → 20.53
- IF 跌穿 19.99 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan BUY
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
BUY_S1
Trigger
12.17
Target
13.37
Stop
11.54
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+5.16%
Reward
+9.86%
R:R
1.91 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 20.53
- R1 (today high)
- 14.57
- Last
- 12.22
- S1 KEY
- 12.17
- S3
- 13.85
- S4 (crash)
- 19.99
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.