10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 23.04 · S2 22.81 · S3 21.05 · S4 25.75
④ Position
8% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
BUY
⑥ Notes
BUY_S1: in box (23-26), entry at S1 23, target mid 25, stop 23
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 26.26 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 23.04, stop 26.79
- IF 失守 23.04 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 22.81 → 22.69
- IF 突破 26.79 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 27.57 → 28.09
- IF 跌穿 25.75 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan BUY
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
BUY_S1
Trigger
23.04
Target
24.65
Stop
22.58
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+2.00%
Reward
+6.99%
R:R
3.49 : 1
Backtest 60d
62% win (n=8) · +0.7%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 28.09
- R1 (today high)
- 26.26
- Last
- 23.30
- S1 KEY
- 23.04
- S3
- 21.05
- S4 (crash)
- 25.75
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.