10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 9.10 · S2 9.01 · S3 9.81 · S4 10.33
④ Position
16% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
BUY
⑥ Notes
BUY_S1: in box (9-10), entry at S1 9, target mid 10, stop 9
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 10.13 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 9.10, stop 10.33
- IF 失守 9.10 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 9.01 → 8.96
- IF 突破 10.33 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 10.64 → 11.12
- IF 跌穿 10.33 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan BUY
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
BUY_S1
Trigger
9.10
Target
9.62
Stop
8.81
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.15%
Reward
+5.66%
R:R
1.80 : 1
Backtest 90d
44% win (n=16) · +0.3%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 11.12
- R1 (today high)
- 10.13
- Last
- 9.26
- S1 KEY
- 9.10
- S3
- 9.81
- S4 (crash)
- 10.33
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.