10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 102.15 · S2 101.13 · S3 114.71 · S4 98.88
④ Position
22% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (102-117), pos 22%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 116.87 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 102.15, stop 119.21
- IF 失守 102.15 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 101.13 → 100.62
- IF 突破 119.21 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 122.71 → 135.16
- IF 跌穿 98.88 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Backtest 197d
45% win (n=31) · +3.3%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 135.16
- R1 (today high)
- 116.87
- Last
- 105.38
- S1 KEY
- 102.15
- S3
- 114.71
- S4 (crash)
- 98.88
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.