10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 83.48 · S2 82.65 · S3 72.78 · S4 78.94
④ Position
20% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
BUY
⑥ Notes
BUY_S1: in box (83-90), entry at S1 83, target mid 87, stop 81
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 90.17 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 83.48, stop 91.97
- IF 失守 83.48 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 82.65 → 82.23
- IF 突破 91.97 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 94.68 → 86.70
- IF 跌穿 78.94 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan BUY
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
BUY_S1
Trigger
83.48
Target
86.83
Stop
80.96
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.02%
Reward
+4.01%
R:R
1.33 : 1
Backtest 60d
89% win (n=9) · +10.6%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 86.70
- R1 (today high)
- 90.17
- Last
- 84.79
- S1 KEY
- 83.48
- S3
- 72.78
- S4 (crash)
- 78.94
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.