10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 1,049.23 · S2 1,038.74 · S3 701.59 · S4 757.30
④ Position
3% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (1049-1179), pos 3%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 1,179.18 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 1,049.23, stop 1,202.76
- IF 失守 1,049.23 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 1,038.74 → 1,033.49
- IF 突破 1,202.76 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 1,238.14 → 1,004.89
- IF 跌穿 757.30 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Backtest 197d
33% win (n=12) · +0.1%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 1,004.89
- R1 (today high)
- 1,179.18
- Last
- 1,053.14
- S1 KEY
- 1,049.23
- S3
- 701.59
- S4 (crash)
- 757.30
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.