10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 737.88 · S2 730.50 · S3 311.49 · S4 192.59
④ Position
65% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (738-1036), entry at R1 1036, target mid 887, stop 1129
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 1,036.13 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 737.88, stop 1,056.85
- IF 失守 737.88 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 730.50 → 726.81
- IF 突破 1,056.85 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 1,087.94 → 981.00
- IF 跌穿 192.59 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
1,036.13
Target
887.01
Stop
1,129.14
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+8.98%
Reward
+14.39%
R:R
1.60 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 981.00
- R1 (today high)
- 1,036.13
- Last
- 932.97
- S1 KEY
- 737.88
- S3
- 311.49
- S4 (crash)
- 192.59
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.