10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 169.68 · S2 167.98 · S3 182.01 · S4 181.36
④ Position
67% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (170-187), entry at R1 187, target mid 179, stop 194
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 187.48 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 169.68, stop 191.23
- IF 失守 169.68 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 167.98 → 167.13
- IF 突破 191.23 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 196.85 → 221.92
- IF 跌穿 181.36 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
187.48
Target
178.58
Stop
194.16
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.56%
Reward
+4.75%
R:R
1.33 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 221.92
- R1 (today high)
- 187.48
- Last
- 181.61
- S1 KEY
- 169.68
- S3
- 182.01
- S4 (crash)
- 181.36
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.