10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 319.19 · S2 316.00 · S3 263.02 · S4 151.52
④ Position
38% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (319-444), pos 38%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 444.17 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 319.19, stop 453.05
- IF 失守 319.19 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 316.00 → 314.40
- IF 突破 453.05 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 466.38 → 422.11
- IF 跌穿 151.52 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Backtest 197d
60% win (n=15) · +2.2%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 422.11
- R1 (today high)
- 444.17
- Last
- 366.43
- S1 KEY
- 319.19
- S3
- 263.02
- S4 (crash)
- 151.52
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.