10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 1,179.95 · S2 1,168.15 · S3 1,123.61 · S4 1,237.09
④ Position
7% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
BUY
⑥ Notes
BUY_S1: in box (1180-1359), entry at S1 1180, target mid 1270, stop 1139
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 1,359.27 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 1,179.95, stop 1,386.46
- IF 失守 1,179.95 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 1,168.15 → 1,162.25
- IF 突破 1,386.46 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 1,427.23 → 1,318.80
- IF 跌穿 1,237.09 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan BUY
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
BUY_S1
Trigger
1,179.95
Target
1,269.61
Stop
1,138.88
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.48%
Reward
+7.60%
R:R
2.18 : 1
Backtest 90d
44% win (n=9) · +2.4%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 1,318.80
- R1 (today high)
- 1,359.27
- Last
- 1,192.60
- S1 KEY
- 1,179.95
- S3
- 1,123.61
- S4 (crash)
- 1,237.09
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.