10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 284.25 · S2 281.41 · S3 232.10 · S4 244.45
④ Position
16% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
BUY
⑥ Notes
BUY_S1: in box (284-334), entry at S1 284, target mid 309, stop 273
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 334.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 284.25, stop 340.68
- IF 失守 284.25 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 281.41 → 279.99
- IF 突破 340.68 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 350.70 → 304.40
- IF 跌穿 244.45 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan BUY
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
BUY_S1
Trigger
284.25
Target
309.12
Stop
272.62
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+4.09%
Reward
+8.75%
R:R
2.14 : 1
Backtest 90d
80% win (n=10) · +4.7%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 304.40
- R1 (today high)
- 334.00
- Last
- 292.29
- S1 KEY
- 284.25
- S3
- 232.10
- S4 (crash)
- 244.45
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.