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US · PayPal Holdings, Inc.

PYPL 62.27 +0.96%

PayPal Holdings, Inc. · BREAK_LONG · 80% win (197d, n=5) · +3.7% · Phase: Uptrend

Phase: Uptrend Action: WAIT Strategy: WAIT_RANGE · BREAK_LONG edge Reliability: MED

註:Backtest win% 係「BREAK_LONG」策略喺過去 197 日嘅歷史表現(edge), 唔等於今日 WAIT 嘅預測成功率;今日決策以下方 Action Plan 為準。

PYPL daily K

10-step framework

① Phase Uptrend
② Framework 20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder S1 56.57 · S2 56.00 · S3 42.93 · S4 38.46
④ Position 92% of box
⑤ Bias (短) WAIT
⑥ Notes WAIT_RANGE: in box (57-63), pos 93%, no clear setup

If-then scenarios

  • IF 反彈至 62.73 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry,target 56.57, stop 63.98
  • IF 失守 56.57 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation,target 56.00 → 55.72
  • IF 突破 63.98 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 65.87 → 52.30
  • IF 跌穿 38.46 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm,avoid

Action Plan WAIT

⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃,唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場;全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走,唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃,SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
Target
Stop
Phase match ✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk +0.00%
Reward +0.00%
R:R 0.00 : 1
Backtest 197d 80% win (n=5) · +3.7%

Key levels

R3 (Aug high)
52.30
R1 (today high)
62.73
Last
62.27
S1 KEY
56.57
S3
42.93
S4 (crash)
38.46
教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.
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