10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 38.86 · S2 38.47 · S3 41.35 · S4 56.99
④ Position
13% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (39-44), pos 13%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 43.69 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 38.86, stop 44.56
- IF 失守 38.86 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 38.47 → 38.28
- IF 突破 44.56 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 45.87 → 58.79
- IF 跌穿 56.99 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Backtest 60d
80% win (n=5) · +9.5%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 58.79
- R1 (today high)
- 43.69
- Last
- 39.48
- S1 KEY
- 38.86
- S3
- 41.35
- S4 (crash)
- 56.99
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.