10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 70.55 · S2 69.84 · S3 85.10 · S4 75.01
④ Position
98% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (71-82), entry at R1 82, target mid 77, stop 86
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 82.46 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 70.55, stop 84.11
- IF 失守 70.55 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 69.84 → 69.49
- IF 突破 84.11 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 86.58 → 108.95
- IF 跌穿 75.01 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
82.46
Target
76.50
Stop
85.90
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+4.18%
Reward
+7.22%
R:R
1.73 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 108.95
- R1 (today high)
- 82.46
- Last
- 82.23
- S1 KEY
- 70.55
- S3
- 85.10
- S4 (crash)
- 75.01
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.