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US · Moderna, Inc.

MRNA 158.83 +14.36%

Moderna, Inc. · BUY_S1 · 60% win (90d, n=5) · +6.0% · Phase: Uptrend

Phase: Uptrend Action: WAIT Strategy: WAIT_RANGE · BUY_S1 edge Reliability: MED

註:Backtest win% 係「BUY_S1」策略喺過去 90 日嘅歷史表現(edge), 唔等於今日 WAIT 嘅預測成功率;今日決策以下方 Action Plan 為準。

MRNA daily K

10-step framework

① Phase Uptrend
② Framework 20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder S1 52.66 · S2 52.13 · S3 43.68 · S4 22.28
④ Position 86% of box
⑤ Bias (短) WAIT
⑥ Notes WAIT_RANGE: in box (53-177), pos 86%, no clear setup

If-then scenarios

  • IF 反彈至 176.66 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry,target 52.66, stop 180.19
  • IF 失守 52.66 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation,target 52.13 → 51.87
  • IF 突破 180.19 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 185.49 → 59.48
  • IF 跌穿 22.28 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm,avoid

Action Plan WAIT

⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃,唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場;全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走,唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃,SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
Target
Stop
Phase match ✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk +0.00%
Reward +0.00%
R:R 0.00 : 1
Backtest 90d 60% win (n=5) · +6.0%

Key levels

R3 (Aug high)
59.48
R1 (today high)
176.66
Last
158.83
S1 KEY
52.66
S3
43.68
S4 (crash)
22.28
教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.
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