10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 147.47 · S2 146.00 · S3 147.10 · S4 144.18
④ Position
92% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (147-163), entry at R1 163, target mid 155, stop 168
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 163.03 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 147.47, stop 166.29
- IF 失守 147.47 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 146.00 → 145.26
- IF 突破 166.29 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 171.18 → 168.20
- IF 跌穿 144.18 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
163.03
Target
155.25
Stop
167.94
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.01%
Reward
+4.77%
R:R
1.59 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 168.20
- R1 (today high)
- 163.03
- Last
- 161.78
- S1 KEY
- 147.47
- S3
- 147.10
- S4 (crash)
- 144.18
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.