10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 261.09 · S2 258.48 · S3 220.51 · S4 188.83
④ Position
6% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (261-310), pos 6%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 310.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 261.09, stop 316.20
- IF 失守 261.09 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 258.48 → 257.17
- IF 突破 316.20 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 325.50 → 280.74
- IF 跌穿 188.83 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Backtest 90d
60% win (n=5) · +3.2%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 280.74
- R1 (today high)
- 310.00
- Last
- 264.04
- S1 KEY
- 261.09
- S3
- 220.51
- S4 (crash)
- 188.83
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.