10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 310.45 · S2 307.35 · S3 289.52 · S4 263.66
④ Position
74% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (310-336), entry at R1 336, target mid 323, stop 346
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 335.80 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 310.45, stop 342.52
- IF 失守 310.45 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 307.35 → 305.79
- IF 突破 342.52 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 352.59 → 344.75
- IF 跌穿 263.66 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
335.80
Target
323.12
Stop
345.97
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.03%
Reward
+3.77%
R:R
1.25 : 1
Backtest 60d
73% win (n=11) · +5.7%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 344.75
- R1 (today high)
- 335.80
- Last
- 329.31
- S1 KEY
- 310.45
- S3
- 289.52
- S4 (crash)
- 263.66
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.