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T-1 · 2026-08-25
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DARK
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US · CME Group Inc.
CME
277.32
-0.66%
CME Group Inc. · No edge in recent regime · Phase: Base building
Phase:
Base building
Action:
SELL
Strategy:
SELL_R1
Reliability:
—
10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 256.83 · S2 254.26 · S3 272.28 · S4 262.19
④ Position
89% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (257-280), entry at R1 280, target mid 268, stop 289
If-then scenarios
IF
反彈至 279.78 區間,
THEN
SELL_R1 entry,target 256.83, stop 285.38
IF
失守 256.83 (S1),
THEN
SHORT confirmation,target 254.26 → 252.98
IF
突破 285.38 企穩,
THEN
反轉睇 293.77 → 320.86
IF
跌穿 262.19 (crash low),
THEN
中期 bear confirm,avoid
Action Plan
SELL
⚠️
呢個係條件單計劃,唔係「而家市價買/沽」。
只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場;全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走,唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃,SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
279.78
Target
268.30
Stop
288.78
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.22%
Reward
+4.10%
R:R
1.28 : 1
Key levels
R3 (Aug high)
320.86
R1 (today high)
279.78
Last
277.32
S1 KEY
256.83
S3
272.28
S4 (crash)
262.19
⚠
教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.
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