10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 192.62 · S2 190.69 · S3 160.93 · S4 200.67
④ Position
83% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (193-221), entry at R1 221, target mid 207, stop 230
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 220.67 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 192.62, stop 225.08
- IF 失守 192.62 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 190.69 → 189.73
- IF 突破 225.08 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 231.70 → 204.71
- IF 跌穿 200.67 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
220.67
Target
206.64
Stop
230.17
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+4.30%
Reward
+6.36%
R:R
1.48 : 1
Backtest 197d
44% win (n=32) · +2.3%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 204.71
- R1 (today high)
- 220.67
- Last
- 215.97
- S1 KEY
- 192.62
- S3
- 160.93
- S4 (crash)
- 200.67
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.