10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 31.64 · S2 31.32 · S3 30.60 · S4 29.75
④ Position
78% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (32-39), entry at R1 39, target mid 35, stop 41
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 39.09 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 31.64, stop 39.87
- IF 失守 31.64 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 31.32 → 31.17
- IF 突破 39.87 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 41.04 → 37.47
- IF 跌穿 29.75 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
39.09
Target
35.36
Stop
40.91
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+4.65%
Reward
+9.53%
R:R
2.05 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 37.47
- R1 (today high)
- 39.09
- Last
- 37.43
- S1 KEY
- 31.64
- S3
- 30.60
- S4 (crash)
- 29.75
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.