10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 23.28 · S2 23.05 · S3 24.53 · S4 24.74
④ Position
94% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (23-27), entry at R1 27, target mid 25, stop 28
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 27.35 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 23.28, stop 27.90
- IF 失守 23.28 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 23.05 → 22.93
- IF 突破 27.90 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 28.72 → 32.40
- IF 跌穿 24.74 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
27.35
Target
25.32
Stop
28.25
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.29%
Reward
+7.44%
R:R
2.26 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 32.40
- R1 (today high)
- 27.35
- Last
- 27.10
- S1 KEY
- 23.28
- S3
- 24.53
- S4 (crash)
- 24.74
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.