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HK · CFMEE

09630.HK 340.00 +2.29%

CFMEE · No edge in recent regime · Phase: Downtrend active

Phase: Downtrend active Action: WAIT Strategy: WAIT_RANGE Reliability:
09630.HK daily K

10-step framework

① Phase Downtrend active
② Framework 20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder S1 228.00 · S2 225.72 · S3 261.60 · S4 261.60
④ Position 60% of box
⑤ Bias (短) WAIT
⑥ Notes WAIT_RANGE: in box (228-415), pos 60%, no clear setup

If-then scenarios

  • IF 反彈至 415.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry,target 228.00, stop 423.30
  • IF 失守 228.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation,target 225.72 → 224.58
  • IF 突破 423.30 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 435.75 → 555.00
  • IF 跌穿 261.60 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm,avoid

Action Plan WAIT

⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃,唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場;全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走,唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃,SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
Target
Stop
Phase match ✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk +0.00%
Reward +0.00%
R:R 0.00 : 1

Key levels

R3 (Aug high)
555.00
R1 (today high)
415.00
Last
340.00
S1 KEY
228.00
S3
261.60
S4 (crash)
261.60
教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.
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