10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 125.70 · S2 124.44 · S3 129.60 · S4 187.20
④ Position
15% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (126-154), pos 15%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 153.80 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 125.70, stop 156.88
- IF 失守 125.70 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 124.44 → 123.81
- IF 突破 156.88 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 161.49 → 220.40
- IF 跌穿 187.20 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 220.40
- R1 (today high)
- 153.80
- Last
- 129.90
- S1 KEY
- 125.70
- S3
- 129.60
- S4 (crash)
- 187.20
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.