10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 143.00 · S2 141.57 · S3 147.34 · S4 141.87
④ Position
57% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (143-166), pos 57%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 166.16 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 143.00, stop 169.48
- IF 失守 143.00 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 141.57 → 140.85
- IF 突破 169.48 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 174.47 → 165.27
- IF 跌穿 141.87 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Backtest 197d
48% win (n=29) · +4.9%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 165.27
- R1 (today high)
- 166.16
- Last
- 156.27
- S1 KEY
- 143.00
- S3
- 147.34
- S4 (crash)
- 141.87
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.