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US · ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation

XOM 160.64 -2.08%

ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation · BUY_S1 · 83% win (90d, n=6) · +2.4% · Phase: Base building

Phase: Base building Action: WAIT Strategy: WAIT_RANGE · BUY_S1 edge Reliability: MED

註:Backtest win% 係「BUY_S1」策略喺過去 90 日嘅歷史表現(edge), 唔等於今日 WAIT 嘅預測成功率;今日決策以下方 Action Plan 為準。

XOM daily K

10-step framework

① Phase Base building
② Framework 20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder S1 149.09 · S2 147.60 · S3 141.97 · S4 113.64
④ Position 59% of box
⑤ Bias (短) WAIT
⑥ Notes WAIT_RANGE: in box (149-169), pos 59%, no clear setup

If-then scenarios

  • IF 反彈至 168.64 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry,target 149.09, stop 172.01
  • IF 失守 149.09 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation,target 147.60 → 146.85
  • IF 突破 172.01 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 177.07 → 176.41
  • IF 跌穿 113.64 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm,avoid

Action Plan WAIT

⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃,唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場;全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走,唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃,SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
Target
Stop
Phase match ✓ 配對
Risk +0.00%
Reward +0.00%
R:R 0.00 : 1
Backtest 90d 83% win (n=6) · +2.4%

Key levels

R3 (Aug high)
176.41
R1 (today high)
168.64
Last
160.64
S1 KEY
149.09
S3
141.97
S4 (crash)
113.64
教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.
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