10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 383.83 · S2 379.99 · S3 255.97 · S4 266.29
④ Position
27% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (384-432), pos 27%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 431.68 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 383.83, stop 440.31
- IF 失守 383.83 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 379.99 → 378.07
- IF 突破 440.31 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 453.26 → 404.15
- IF 跌穿 266.29 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 404.15
- R1 (today high)
- 431.68
- Last
- 396.59
- S1 KEY
- 383.83
- S3
- 255.97
- S4 (crash)
- 266.29
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.