10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 439.82 · S2 435.42 · S3 403.14 · S4 348.06
④ Position
29% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (440-494), pos 29%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 493.71 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 439.82, stop 503.58
- IF 失守 439.82 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 435.42 → 433.22
- IF 突破 503.58 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 518.40 → 503.47
- IF 跌穿 348.06 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Backtest 60d
67% win (n=6) · +1.8%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 503.47
- R1 (today high)
- 493.71
- Last
- 455.25
- S1 KEY
- 439.82
- S3
- 403.14
- S4 (crash)
- 348.06
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.