10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 403.45 · S2 399.42 · S3 379.38 · S4 361.03
④ Position
83% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (403-439), entry at R1 439, target mid 421, stop 453
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 439.02 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 403.45, stop 447.80
- IF 失守 403.45 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 399.42 → 397.40
- IF 突破 447.80 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 460.97 → 432.07
- IF 跌穿 361.03 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
439.02
Target
421.24
Stop
453.28
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.25%
Reward
+4.05%
R:R
1.25 : 1
Backtest 90d
55% win (n=11) · +3.0%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 432.07
- R1 (today high)
- 439.02
- Last
- 432.99
- S1 KEY
- 403.45
- S3
- 379.38
- S4 (crash)
- 361.03
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.