10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 115.27 · S2 114.12 · S3 94.00 · S4 104.92
④ Position
89% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (115-159), entry at R1 159, target mid 137, stop 167
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 158.87 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 115.27, stop 162.05
- IF 失守 115.27 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 114.12 → 113.54
- IF 突破 162.05 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 166.81 → 137.30
- IF 跌穿 104.92 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
158.87
Target
137.07
Stop
167.23
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+5.26%
Reward
+13.72%
R:R
2.61 : 1
Backtest 197d
47% win (n=17) · +7.7%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 137.30
- R1 (today high)
- 158.87
- Last
- 153.88
- S1 KEY
- 115.27
- S3
- 94.00
- S4 (crash)
- 104.92
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.