10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 101.80 · S2 100.78 · S3 85.60 · S4 81.76
④ Position
46% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (102-111), pos 45%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 110.51 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 101.80, stop 112.72
- IF 失守 101.80 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 100.78 → 100.27
- IF 突破 112.72 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 116.04 → 108.88
- IF 跌穿 81.76 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Backtest 60d
70% win (n=10) · +6.2%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 108.88
- R1 (today high)
- 110.51
- Last
- 105.76
- S1 KEY
- 101.80
- S3
- 85.60
- S4 (crash)
- 81.76
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.