10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 228.05 · S2 225.77 · S3 204.25 · S4 157.73
④ Position
45% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (228-257), pos 45%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 257.00 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 228.05, stop 262.14
- IF 失守 228.05 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 225.77 → 224.63
- IF 突破 262.14 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 269.85 → 237.41
- IF 跌穿 157.73 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Backtest 90d
62% win (n=8) · +2.4%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 237.41
- R1 (today high)
- 257.00
- Last
- 241.19
- S1 KEY
- 228.05
- S3
- 204.25
- S4 (crash)
- 157.73
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.