10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 241.30 · S2 238.89 · S3 197.56 · S4 177.08
④ Position
16% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (241-259), pos 16%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 258.96 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 241.30, stop 264.14
- IF 失守 241.30 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 238.89 → 237.68
- IF 突破 264.14 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 271.91 → 230.25
- IF 跌穿 177.08 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Backtest 60d
73% win (n=11) · +4.6%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 230.25
- R1 (today high)
- 258.96
- Last
- 244.11
- S1 KEY
- 241.30
- S3
- 197.56
- S4 (crash)
- 177.08
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.