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US · Palo Alto Networks, Inc.

PANW 339.90 -3.13%

Palo Alto Networks, Inc. · BREAK_LONG · 80% win (90d, n=5) · +3.6% · Phase: Uptrend

Phase: Uptrend Action: WAIT Strategy: WAIT_RANGE · BREAK_LONG edge Reliability: MED

註:Backtest win% 係「BREAK_LONG」策略喺過去 90 日嘅歷史表現(edge), 唔等於今日 WAIT 嘅預測成功率;今日決策以下方 Action Plan 為準。

PANW daily K

10-step framework

① Phase Uptrend
② Framework 20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder S1 310.46 · S2 307.36 · S3 143.50 · S4 139.57
④ Position 33% of box
⑤ Bias (短) WAIT
⑥ Notes WAIT_RANGE: in box (310-399), pos 33%, no clear setup

If-then scenarios

  • IF 反彈至 398.88 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry,target 310.46, stop 406.86
  • IF 失守 310.46 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation,target 307.36 → 305.80
  • IF 突破 406.86 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 418.82 → 283.71
  • IF 跌穿 139.57 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm,avoid

Action Plan WAIT

⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃,唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場;全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走,唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃,SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
Target
Stop
Phase match ✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk +0.00%
Reward +0.00%
R:R 0.00 : 1
Backtest 90d 80% win (n=5) · +3.6%

Key levels

R3 (Aug high)
283.71
R1 (today high)
398.88
Last
339.90
S1 KEY
310.46
S3
143.50
S4 (crash)
139.57
教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.
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