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OXY 58.41 -2.83%

Occidental Petroleum Corporatio · BREAK_SHORT · 60% win (197d, n=5) · +0.4% · Phase: Base building

Phase: Base building Action: WAIT Strategy: WAIT_RANGE · BREAK_SHORT edge Reliability: MED

註:Backtest win% 係「BREAK_SHORT」策略喺過去 197 日嘅歷史表現(edge), 唔等於今日 WAIT 嘅預測成功率;今日決策以下方 Action Plan 為準。

OXY daily K

10-step framework

① Phase Base building
② Framework 20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder S1 53.66 · S2 53.12 · S3 51.96 · S4 38.80
④ Position 56% of box
⑤ Bias (短) WAIT
⑥ Notes WAIT_RANGE: in box (54-62), pos 56%, no clear setup

If-then scenarios

  • IF 反彈至 62.15 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry,target 53.66, stop 63.39
  • IF 失守 53.66 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation,target 53.12 → 52.86
  • IF 突破 63.39 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 65.26 → 67.45
  • IF 跌穿 38.80 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm,avoid

Action Plan WAIT

⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃,唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場;全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走,唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃,SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
Target
Stop
Phase match ✓ 配對
Risk +0.00%
Reward +0.00%
R:R 0.00 : 1
Backtest 197d 60% win (n=5) · +0.4%

Key levels

R3 (Aug high)
67.45
R1 (today high)
62.15
Last
58.41
S1 KEY
53.66
S3
51.96
S4 (crash)
38.80
教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.
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