10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 190.01 · S2 188.11 · S3 164.27 · S4 169.55
④ Position
61% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (190-228), entry at R1 228, target mid 209, stop 237
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 227.92 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 190.01, stop 232.48
- IF 失守 190.01 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 188.11 → 187.16
- IF 突破 232.48 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 239.32 → 236.54
- IF 跌穿 169.55 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
227.92
Target
208.96
Stop
236.91
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+3.94%
Reward
+8.32%
R:R
2.11 : 1
Backtest 60d
62% win (n=8) · +2.6%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 236.54
- R1 (today high)
- 227.92
- Last
- 213.05
- S1 KEY
- 190.01
- S3
- 164.27
- S4 (crash)
- 169.55
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.