10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 89.21 · S2 88.32 · S3 116.40 · S4 104.17
④ Position
95% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (89-129), entry at R1 129, target mid 109, stop 139
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 128.66 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 89.21, stop 131.23
- IF 失守 89.21 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 88.32 → 87.87
- IF 突破 131.23 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 135.09 → 197.00
- IF 跌穿 104.17 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
128.66
Target
108.94
Stop
139.16
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+8.16%
Reward
+15.33%
R:R
1.88 : 1
Backtest 90d
56% win (n=9) · +5.6%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 197.00
- R1 (today high)
- 128.66
- Last
- 126.83
- S1 KEY
- 89.21
- S3
- 116.40
- S4 (crash)
- 104.17
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.