10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 290.36 · S2 287.46 · S3 210.64 · S4 161.93
④ Position
84% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (290-368), entry at R1 368, target mid 329, stop 385
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 367.60 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 290.36, stop 374.95
- IF 失守 290.36 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 287.46 → 286.00
- IF 突破 374.95 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 385.98 → 264.14
- IF 跌穿 161.93 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
367.60
Target
328.98
Stop
385.35
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+4.83%
Reward
+10.51%
R:R
2.18 : 1
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 264.14
- R1 (today high)
- 367.60
- Last
- 354.88
- S1 KEY
- 290.36
- S3
- 210.64
- S4 (crash)
- 161.93
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.