10-step framework
① Phase
Downtrend active
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 343.78 · S2 340.34 · S3 279.10 · S4 289.50
④ Position
57% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
WAIT
⑥ Notes
WAIT_RANGE: in box (344-366), pos 57%, no clear setup
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 366.50 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 343.78, stop 373.83
- IF 失守 343.78 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 340.34 → 338.62
- IF 突破 373.83 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 384.82 → 320.24
- IF 跌穿 289.50 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan WAIT
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
WAIT_RANGE
Trigger
—
Target
—
Stop
—
Phase match
✗ 唔夾 — 降級風險
Risk
+0.00%
Reward
+0.00%
R:R
0.00 : 1
Backtest 60d
64% win (n=11) · +3.8%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 320.24
- R1 (today high)
- 366.50
- Last
- 356.69
- S1 KEY
- 343.78
- S3
- 279.10
- S4 (crash)
- 289.50
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.