10-step framework
① Phase
Base building
② Framework
20-day rolling box + 60-day trend
③ S/R ladder
S1 42.04 · S2 41.62 · S3 41.92 · S4 32.06
④ Position
63% of box
⑤ Bias (短)
SELL
⑥ Notes
SELL_R1: in box (42-50), entry at R1 50, target mid 46, stop 52
If-then scenarios
- IF 反彈至 49.72 區間, THEN SELL_R1 entry，target 42.04, stop 50.71
- IF 失守 42.04 (S1), THEN SHORT confirmation，target 41.62 → 41.41
- IF 突破 50.71 企穩, THEN 反轉睇 52.21 → 52.71
- IF 跌穿 32.06 (crash low), THEN 中期 bear confirm，avoid
Action Plan SELL
⚠️ 呢個係條件單計劃，唔係「而家市價買/沽」。只有價格真係去到 Trigger 價先入場；全日冇掂到 Trigger = 唔使做嘢。Stop 一穿即走，唔好等。BUY = 買入計劃，SELL = 沽出/短沽計劃。
Strategy
SELL_R1
Trigger
49.72
Target
45.88
Stop
51.80
Phase match
✓ 配對
Risk
+4.18%
Reward
+7.72%
R:R
1.85 : 1
Backtest 90d
56% win (n=9) · +0.6%
Key levels
- R3 (Aug high)
- 52.71
- R1 (today high)
- 49.72
- Last
- 46.91
- S1 KEY
- 42.04
- S3
- 41.92
- S4 (crash)
- 32.06
⚠ 教育用途 only。Backtest 唔等於 live 表現。Always size your position to risk 1-2% of account.